Monday, February 2, 2009

Yet another prominent scientist disputes global warming forecasts

The list of scientists bailing out of the "scientific consensus" on man-made global warming is growing faster than the snow pack in Greenland.

The latest prominent skeptic is Dr. J. Scott Armstrong, a founder of the International Journal of Forecasting, Journal of Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, and International Symposium on Forecasting, and the author of Long-range Forecasting (1978, 1985), the Principles of Forecasting Handbook, and over 70 papers on forecasting. A couple of days ago he issued a statement declaring that "the forecasting process reported on by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) lacks a scientific basis."

Dr. Armstrong and his associate Kesten C. Green state, "We conducted an audit of the procedures described in the IPCC report and found that they clearly violated 72 scientific principles of forecasting (Green and Armstrong 2008). (No justification was provided for any of these violations.) For important forecasts, we can see no reason why any principle should be violated."

One wonders how long the AGW establishment is going to be able to keep their tottering edifice upright.

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